Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.891349 2.167092 2.460036 2.793473 3.161498 3.554312 4.004295
2025-02-02 1.418899 1.807104 2.253088 2.798703 3.443330 4.175765 5.065708
2025-02-09 1.084722 1.524694 2.067523 2.775057 3.660616 4.719744 6.068479
2025-02-16 0.836697 1.291570 1.891264 2.718707 3.807708 5.168006 6.968870
2025-02-23 0.682931 1.148294 1.799300 2.743003 4.038831 5.716565 8.008550
2025-03-02 0.548602 1.004310 1.679777 2.705893 4.171338 6.131432 8.885280
2025-03-09 0.461530 0.913563 1.619455 2.736831 4.387421 6.656653 9.920067
2025-03-16 0.382459 0.819647 1.538846 2.723867 4.531793 7.082389 10.830726
2025-03-23 0.342284 0.784454 1.543974 2.836868 4.860835 7.774883 12.130137
2025-03-30 0.303850 0.744777 1.535136 2.923575 5.151092 8.420174 13.383424
2025-04-06 0.252897 0.670528 1.456667 2.887522 5.246313 8.781310 14.240455
2025-04-13 0.220980 0.628398 1.428898 2.930907 5.464529 9.328550 15.380535
2025-04-20 0.190489 0.584431 1.394623 2.963956 5.674546 9.882847 16.568664
2025-04-27 0.165256 0.547108 1.368528 3.009212 5.907575 10.483567 17.850918
2025-05-04 0.138719 0.499957 1.316190 3.001096 6.049292 10.947096 18.942198
2025-05-11 0.112927 0.447298 1.244313 2.948256 6.108810 11.280458 19.843304
2025-05-18 0.097058 0.417493 1.216995 2.977194 6.310080 11.845460 21.116687
2025-05-25 0.079531 0.376944 1.159038 2.938888 6.387131 12.208720 22.082868
2025-06-01 0.068662 0.353912 1.138105 2.972451 6.593607 12.788930 23.404125
2025-06-08 0.057167 0.324438 1.096759 2.958848 6.710591 13.222001 24.500730
2025-06-15 0.052825 0.319946 1.117730 3.079523 7.084518 14.099512 26.334891
2025-06-22 0.047789 0.310998 1.125752 3.172042 7.408323 14.900606 28.063826
2025-06-29 0.039006 0.282575 1.076982 3.133613 7.476661 15.263325 29.083980